The Canary In The Semiconductor-Chip Fab
As ECRI shared with CNBC, the canary in the semiconductor-chip fab has already keeled over and – according to our leading index – there’s no resurrection in sight.
The chart shows that the volume of global semiconductor shipment growth has collapsed, plunging over 20% since August, and its growth rate has tanked to a ten-year low.
Because the semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, growth in ECRI’s Global Leading Manufacturing Index (GLMI, top line) reliably anticipates turning points in semiconductor shipment growth, and clearly predicted this downturn.
Bottom line, with GLMI growth still plummeting, there is no light at the end of the tunnel, and semiconductor demand will fall further.