No Afghanistan, No Peace Plan Needed
In spite of Washington’s claims that it pursues Afghan settlement, it has been reluctant to put an end to its military campaign in this country, trying to secure the alignment of political chess pieces on the Afghan board in a such a way instead that it will ensure that this country starts showing the obedience that would be more in line with the status of a vassal.
It is noteworthy that the US special representative for Afghanistan reconciliation, Zalmay Khalilzad has been particularly active in the past two months, as he held a series of personal meetings with both Afghanistan’s president Ashraf Ghani and the high-profile figures within the Taliban.
If one is to pay close attention to the recent steps made by this senior US diplomat, it becomes evident that Washington demanded that Khalilzad established close ties with a multitude of Afghan field militant commanders, as they are capable of bringing large armed groups to most any part of Afghanistan at their will. Thus, during his last tour across the region, the US special representative for Afghanistan reconciliation would hold a personal meeting with Tadin Khan, the brother of the assassinated police commander of Kandahar – Abdul Raziq. During the meeting, that took place in the UAE, Khalilzad was able to clarify that Tadin inherited a lot of power from his deceased relative and could lead a number of armed groups into combat. Unsurprisingly, by a miracle that some would describe as a strange coincidence, at the same exact moment the former governor of the Balkh Governorate of Afghanistan, Atta Muhammad Nur was visiting the UAE. It’s noteworthy that Khalilzad was born in Mazar-i-Sharif – the capital of Balkh, so he had a cordial meeting with his fellow countryman, as Nur has ties to a number of armed groups that operate in the province he used to govern.
A series of such meetings that wasn’t held in the open officially, as one would expect from a high-profile diplomat must ensure that Washington will use semi-legal armed formations in the major crackdown on the opposition forces that control the better part of Afghanistan. This plan becomes particularly relevant in the light of the upcoming withdrawal of a fraction of US troops from Afghanistan.
This shadowy aspect of Washington’s “peace plan” for Afghanistan goes in line with a number of reports in the US media that show that Langley has intensified its efforts in creating a parallel power structure across Afghanistan that will not be subjected to Kabul and will operate under the guise of a joint anti-terror effort coordinated by the CIA. The approximate number of men engaged in this proxy force reaches tens of thousands. These activities are taking place behind the guise of operation Resolute Support conducted by the Pentagon and in close coordination with representatives of those Afghan figures controlled by Washington. Those units that Washington has been busy training will not be just fighting the Taliban but will also be punishing the local population for their cooperation with this group. What is clear is Washington’s vision of tomorrow’s Afghan peace is riddled with punitive methods.
However, all of these smoke and mirrors is nothing but the preparation for the deployment of the so-called private security firms in Afghanistan, which will be coordinating their activities with Afghan field commanders from day one. Essentially, this will lead to the division of the country, with seemingly independent zones of influence getting established, which will ultimately result in the destruction of the very foundation of the Afghan state. This situation requires immediate attention from both all the nationals who deem themselves Afghan patriots and the leading figures of the international community. As we’re about to get a multitude of mercenary kingdoms in the place of a proud state that Washington failed to subject to its will.
The role that the US special representative for Afghanistan reconciliation, Zalmay Khalilzad plays in the “peace plan” that will result in the demise of the Afghan state is no coincidence, as he has been enjoying close business ties with the founder of the Blackwater, Erik Prince for quite a while. In turn, Prince happens to be among the principal lobbyists of the bright Afghan future that we’re about to witness.
But things are not going Khalilzad’s way in his contacts with the Taliban movement. There’s signs that the negotiation process started skidding and then came to a screeching halt, which affected the withdrawal schedule of the regular US troops from Afghanistan. Among the reasons behind this is the absence of any guarantees that the Taliban would not try to undermine Washington’s reign in the mercenary kingdoms that would replace Afghanistan. It’s clear that verbal claims that Taliban’s field commanders are making about them having no intention of seeking a monopoly on power are not good enough for Washington. It’s also clear that the United States demands an unequivocal consent from the armed opposition that it will be able to maintain its bases in the territory of Afghanistan indefinitely, as it needs these lands to project its influence in the region.
It is for this reason Zalmay Khalilzad was demanded to seek rapprochement with Islamabad for it to assist the US in negotiating the peace deal with the Taliban to the detriment of Afghanistan and its people. Under these conditions, the withdrawal of US troops could lead to a rapid deterioration of the security situation in Afghanistan.
Further still, in a bid to prevent other international players (namely Russia) from resolving the Afghan crisis through negotiations with all the parties involved in the conflict, Washington demanded the US-controlled representatives of the ruling Kabul elite to discredit the role of the Russian Federation in the establishment of a viable peace process, by describing Moscow as an unreliable partner. To facilitate these efforts, all sorts of fabricated “leaks” about Kremlin’s alleged involvement in the financing and arming of the Taliban started appearing in the Afghan media and on social networks.
By sensing a direct threat to his power and wealth in Russia’s growing ties with the opposition political forces of Afghanistan that represent local minorities, the sitting Afghan president Ashraf Ghani chose to organize a press conference to publicly criticize Moscow and its efforts in early February. Political analysts agree that Ashraf Ghani doesn’t have the support to beat main competitors in the election race, especially in a situation when those competitors can show that they are capable of using Russia’s assistance in bringing peace to Afghanistan. That is why he’s going to block all the attempts that Moscow makes in its bid to defuse a potentially catastrophic situation in Afghanistan, and Washington seems to be more than contended with this fact.
Martin Berger is a freelance journalist and geopolitical analyst, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook.”